Captain Aliyu Babangida (retd.), a former military intelligence officer and Chief Executive Officer of Goldwater Consults, expressed his concerns about President Bola Tinubu’s intervention in the aftermath of the coup in Niger. According to Babangida, Tinubu’s decision to engage in military intervention through the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) may not be favorable.
Babangida pointed out that the situation in Niger is essentially a francophone family quarrel, and sending Anglophone troops may not be appropriate. He emphasized that Nigeria’s porous borders with Niger pose significant challenges, as it allows various elements to enter and exit the country without proper checks.
The retired military officer suggested that instead of military action, President Tinubu should leverage his age and wisdom to engage with the young coup leaders and, if necessary, form a multi-national joint coalition force. He warned against engaging in an “away” fight in someone else’s territory, as history has shown that such campaigns often lead to defeat.
Regarding the ultimatum given to the coup plotters to return power to ousted President Muhammed Bazoum, Babangida expressed skepticism about Nigeria’s ability to carry out any military action successfully. He cautioned that failure to act or defeat in such an operation could harm Nigeria’s reputation as a leader in Africa.
Babangida also analyzed the countries supporting Niger and the implications of their involvement. He highlighted Algeria’s military strength, Iran’s motives, and the capabilities of Wagner, a mercenary group. He warned that Nigeria must consider the broader geopolitical dynamics before taking any action.
The retired officer attributed recurrent military takeovers in West Africa to the region’s politicians, who often engage in irresponsible and exclusive governance. He cited the example of a Muslim-Muslim ticket in Nigeria, which he deemed as exclusive and potentially divisive.
Regarding Tinubu’s nomination of 48 persons for ministerial positions, Babangida advised caution in drawing conclusions, emphasizing that soldiers alone cannot solve all security challenges. He called for a critical assessment of the situation and the government’s actions.
Overall, Captain Aliyu Babangida expressed reservations about President Tinubu’s approach to the Niger situation and urged a more thoughtful and inclusive strategy in handling security challenges in the region.
Ambaz (
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